Next EOI Invitation Round Predictions 2024: (Federal Election Impact)

The 2024-25 fiscal year has seen significant developments in Australia's skilled migration program, with three invitation rounds conducted so far (June, September, and November 2024) totaling 28,265 invitations.

However, an unusually long pause of over 140 days has occurred since the November 7 round, causing anxiety among potential migrants.

Observations

• In late 2022, invitations occurred frequently (every 45–63 days) due to high quotas and backlog reduction needs.

• In 2023, gaps widened, with up to 207 days without any invitation.

• In 2024, the pattern became more regular, with intervals of 84 and 63 days.

Fiscal Year Consideration:

• Australia's fiscal year runs from July 1 to June 30.

• Past years typically had 3–4 invitation rounds per fiscal year, with 2–3 months between each round.

• So far in the 2024-25 fiscal year, three invitation rounds have occurred:

  • June 13, 2024 – 5,292 invited

  • September 5, 2024 – 7,973 invited

  • November 7, 2024 – 15,000 invited

  • Total: 28,265 invitations issued

• However, no new round has occurred since November 2024, which is over 140 days ago – an unusually long pause.

Key Factors Influencing the Next Invitation Round

According to the Department of Home Affairs, the upcoming Federal Election (May 3, 2025) is likely the primary factor delaying new invitations. The election presents significant policy uncertainties:

• Labor Party supports strengthening social safety nets and housing initiatives

• Liberal Party advocates for immigration cuts and prioritizing local employment

This political divide is causing the Department to likely wait for post-election clarity before issuing new invitations for Subclass 189 visas.

Invitation Timing Predictions

Based on historical invitation patterns and the current political environment:

1. Most likely: Next round after the election (mid-May to early June 2025)

2. Less likely: Small round before the election (April 2025)

3. Least likely: Continued absence of invitations

Optimizing Your Strategy

During this waiting period, consider:

• Improving your points score (English tests, professional year)

• Exploring alternative pathways like state-nominated visas

• Preparing for post-election policy changes

• Using data-driven approaches to analyze invitation probabilities

The uncertainty surrounding invitation rounds is challenging, but understanding the upcoming changes to Australia's visa system can help you make informed decisions.

For personalized migration planning based on real case analysis, NovenAI offers AI-driven assessments to help navigate this uncertain period and optimize your EOI submission timing.